Description

This analysis provides a forecast of JASMY prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-10-20 0.010869 0.013184 0.016101 0.020140 0.025748 0.033517 0.045614
2024-10-27 0.008429 0.011173 0.015129 0.021587 0.032651 0.052720 0.098095
2024-11-03 0.007245 0.010189 0.014848 0.023450 0.040980 0.081978 0.225050
2024-11-10 0.006483 0.009545 0.014761 0.025451 0.051010 0.129046 0.621166
2024-11-17 0.005676 0.008613 0.013871 0.025466 0.056743 0.176722 1.704233
2024-11-24 0.005017 0.007789 0.012946 0.025002 0.061014 0.232361 6.209366
2024-12-01 0.004358 0.006852 0.011593 0.023057 0.059458 0.258959 20.875299
2024-12-08 0.003890 0.006195 0.010674 0.021885 0.059871 0.304726 415.379724
2024-12-15 0.003590 0.005807 0.010230 0.021796 0.064440 0.411379 NaN
2024-12-22 0.003388 0.005576 0.010074 0.022439 0.072917 0.639707 NaN
2024-12-29 0.003178 0.005301 0.009771 0.022562 0.079483 0.959111 NaN
2025-01-05 0.002929 0.004920 0.009167 0.021590 0.079637 1.181481 NaN
2025-01-12 0.002719 0.004624 0.008777 0.021405 0.085848 1.973412 NaN
2025-01-19 0.002616 0.004539 0.008881 0.022959 0.106947 7.425269 NaN
2025-01-26 0.002540 0.004495 0.009078 0.024990 0.138847 183.951672 NaN
2025-02-02 0.002469 0.004454 0.009272 0.027181 0.183413 NaN NaN
2025-02-09 0.002330 0.004244 0.008974 0.027197 0.205144 NaN NaN
2025-02-16 0.002190 0.004017 0.008592 0.026689 0.219582 NaN NaN
2025-02-23 0.002017 0.003699 0.007910 0.024562 0.201810 NaN NaN
2025-03-02 0.001884 0.003463 0.007434 0.023282 0.197294 NaN NaN
2025-03-09 0.001797 0.003325 0.007220 0.023185 0.215812 NaN NaN
2025-03-16 0.001738 0.003248 0.007170 0.023886 0.257351 NaN NaN
2025-03-23 0.001669 0.003142 0.007018 0.024021 0.290188 NaN NaN